Veterans around here know not to expect much, but newcomers may need to be enlightened on what to expect.
It is true that Rowan Williams has the power to withhold invitations from the once-a-decade Lambeth Conference; from the Primates Meetings, and from the Anglican Consultative Council. He could announce that he is doing just that.
But, he hastened to issue Lambeth invitations in 2007 even after being given the finger by the House of Bishops in New Orleans. The next Lambeth Conference - if indeed it does take place at all - is scheduled for 2018, and many (perhaps even most) of the bishops who attended Lambeth 2008 will not be in office come 2018, so as far as sitting TEC bishops go, withholding their Lambeth invitations at this point amounts to very little in the way of aversion therapy. However if I were Williams, and I wanted to be seen as throwing the orthodox a bone while not doing anything punitive toward liberal bishops in TEC, I might do just that: Announce that invitations for the next Lambeth Conference will be contingent upon the bishops who in the future occupy those sees upholding the teaching of the communion on the matters of same-sex blessings and consecration of non-celibate gays to the episcopacy. That lets me say to the orthodox, "Hey, I've effectively excluded them from Lambeth," while winking to the liberals and being able to say, "It's a long time to 2018... a lot can change between now and then," not the least of which is that Williams will be gone, and his successor free to make whatever changes he wants on the matter of Lambeth invitations. I think that's a long shot, but it's not that bad a tactical move if you can also spin it just right during the aftermath of the announcement.
Withholding invitations to the ACC and the Primates Meetings - which, one assumes, would also cut TEC out of the Covenant development process - would be the harshest action Williams could take; therefore, expect him not to do that.
As we remind people all the time, the best indicator of future performance is past performance. Knowing that Williams has had ample opportunity to take action in the past, but has declined; and knowing that his sympathies lie with gay advocates here and in his own Church of England; and knowing that TEC is essentially blackmailing him with the funding they provide to the Anglican Comunion's various official operations, I think it's pretty safe to say that Rowan Williams' response to General Convention 2009 will fall somewhere between next-to-nothing, and nothing-at-all.
For those with absolutely nothing better to do, we can talk about exactly where on that narrow spectrum his actions will fall, but unless I'm very wrong, William's response will have the effect of simply further cementing his impotence in this crisis. He has squandered huge amounts of power, and backed himself into a very small corner over the years. By not exercising any of his options over the years, he has let them evaporate.
I could be wrong - I certainly have been before (I though the Buddhist bishop would sail through and be seated in the House of Bishops) - but when the situation is dire, betting on Rowan Williams to do nothing is about as safe a bet as you can make.
Will he waste time impaneling another commission to produce another report? Will he issue another bald-faced lie as he did with the joint report from Tanzania? Will it simply be a strongly-worded memo? A weakly-worded memo?
Who knows. Who cares?
At this point, the real battle is not between New York and Canterbury. It is between the Schori-Beers axis, and each diocesan bishop who chooses not to toe the Episcopal Church's new all-gay, all-the-time line. With each milestone - from GenCon '03, to Dromantine, to Tanzania, to New Orleans, to GenCon '09, as TEC digs in deeper, the actions Rowan Williams must take to have any effect at all on the crisis become bigger and more severe, and given that it is simply not in his nature to take bold action, with each passing milestone the odds drop that he'll take effective action.
Here's hoping otherwise, but here's preparing for nothing.













Actually Rowan Williams has been giving the orthodox a gift all these years. He has forced us to stop hoping for help from overseas and look for help from within our own ranks. He has forced us to create relations with foreign bishops on our own, without his good offices. He has forced us to be creative. He has forced us to be self reliant in worldly terms, but also more reliant on God.
In many ways we are better because Rowan Willims has acted as Rowan Williams.
On the other hand dining out with him must be an absolute nightmare. “I’ll have the beef, no that creates greenhouse gases, I’ll have the fish, no they’re unsustainable, ok, maybe the hummus, no that’s greenhouse gases again…...”