1.The Archbishop of Canterbury (ABC) receives the consolidated APO request from the even orthodox dioceses.
2.The ABC consults with his senior advisors and drafts an APO proposal he hopes will be acceptable to both sides for the time being.
3. The proposal looks a lot like the one described by Ruth Gledhill here (except for the rather incredible report of VGR's possible invitation to Lambeth).
4. The proposal is not intended to forestall or negate the primates’ response to the decisions of the 75th General Convention with regard to the Windsor Report. Rather, the proposal is specifically designed to address the problems identified by the seven dioceses in their appeal without recognizing a separate orthodox entity over the express objections of the leaders of the Episcopal Church. The hope is that some form of APO will be accepted by the TEC leadership.
5. The proposal is received and discussed in New York.
6. Discussions eventually lead to a draft agreement by Tuesday night.
7. After consultation, both sides rework their copies of the draft.
8. The next morning the two sides cannot reconcile the two texts (see the TLC article linked above).
9. The meeting ends in an impasse.
The spin from the revisionists and their allies will be that the ABC has "rejected" the APO requests.
This is absurd and holds no water when compared with the actual statements issued from Canterbury and the two opposing sides. But spin is spin.
The spin from the ACO, as I noted in one of the comment threads above will be aimed at shifting the context as much as possible prior to the CAPA meeting from that of discipline following the Episcopal Church’s rejection of the WR requests to the “negotiations” between TEC leaders and the Network. The idea will be to reframe the issue as one of a dispute between two parties of equal communion standing whilst the rest of the communion standsby waiting to "get on with the mission." Expect an article or two from the ACNS reflecting this spin on events.
Well, that's my initial take
Update: be sure to read the comments below. Craig Goodrich and Eddie Swain have made some excellent observations. In fact, you guys saved me alot of work this morning. Thanks
Here's Craig Godrich's comment:
+++Rowan really felt he had to call this meeting for several reasons:
* A settlement which was clearly acquiesced to by ECUSA would be pastorally preferable to one forced on them, and would tend to lower the overall level of vituperation in the Communion, whatever issues might remain;
* He believes he must be able to clearly show the small but noisy liberal faction in his own C of E (and perhaps some liberal Primates) that he has given ECUSA every opportunity to settle matters internally before handing the whole mess over to the tender mercies of the Primates;
* The ecclesial structure that emerges from a Communion-driven split is likely to be somewhat confused and give rise to a lot of litigation. A negotiated settlement between the parties would substantially reduce both problems.
+++Rowan has absolutely refused to make any unilateral substantive decisions on the whole North American mess. In a lesser thinker one might suspect indecision, but in his case I believe it’s because he is totally committed to the idea that authority in the Church catholic must be conciliar, and he therefore resists any action that even remotely suggests a Papal model.
and here is Eddie Swain's:
Four observations:
1) Bishop Duncan is quoted speaking charitably about Grizzy and KJS in the WaPo news article. He said that they “genuinely wanted to do something” to help conservatives. I think this was more than just olive branching. I think it means that 815 is really ready to deal.
2) In the ACN statement, ++Duncan mentions APO and the Primates. Clearly, he is not ready to blink as commenters above have pointed out.
3) Again, in the ACN statement, ++Duncan mentions his concern for the parishes that are not in Network dioceses. He clearly insinuates (again) that that is where the biggest mess is. I am betting (though I can’t know for certain, of course), that this is where the break-down occurred between Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. I’m betting that either 815 realized that the deal would allow those parishes (outside of Network dioceses) too much leeway, or the ACN realized that there was not enough, (or both) and they couldn’t come to agreement on that point. ++Duncan clearly sees those parishes as belonging to the Network, and in need of rescuing, and he will not abandon them. 815 may be willing to rid themselves of the handfull of Network dioceses, if, for no other reason than to be done with ++Duncan, +Iker, et al, but, they don’t want to be responsible for taking back to the other 100 or so dioceses a plan that would have them dealing with the chaos and uncertainty of parish-by-parish decisions. Again, this is just my guess, but it seems plausible to me.
4) The statements from both the Anglican Communion and the Network sound very positive to me about the idea that people are at least talking, and they seem to give some genuine hope to the idea that a solution is possible.
I did not really expect an agreement of any sort to be reached from this meeting. There is too much happening this month for anyone to be willing to lay out all of their cards right now. I do think that that the “failure” of these negotiations may give the Camp Allen and especially the CAPA meetings more ammunition to say that TEC is being uncooperative, which may generate some positive “spin” for the orthodox.
Maybe we will get something more concrete by the end of this month, after some more dust has settled and we get some more formal statements from the Global South (not to mention the Newark election). I’m not holding my breath till then though as I have more hope for February, though I really hate setting dates—been there too many times over the past three years.













Duncan was pretty slick in his statement pointing out that the ACN is looking not only to the AOC but to the Primates for a response to the request for APO. Subtle.